A winning streak feels convincing, but it can inflate odds beyond fair value....

https://fun-wiki.win/index.php/How_Do_I_Avoid_Paying_for_%E2%80%98Confirmation%E2%80%99_in_Betting%3F

A winning streak feels convincing, but it can inflate odds beyond fair value. Good team vs good bet? Sometimes not. Think of a +130 opener shrinking to -140. That shift tells a story: the market’s pricing momentum, not just skill